Bowling Green vs Massachusetts 10/20/2012

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Bowling Green is a heavy favorite winning 84% of simulations over Massachusetts. Matt Schilz is averaging 257 passing yards and 2.44 TDs per simulation and Anthon Samuel is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Massachusetts wins, Mike Wegzyn averages 1.14 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.54 TDs to 0.8 interceptions. Michael Cox averages 84 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Massachusetts wins and 73 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Bowling Green has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS +17.5

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